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Recent Publications


Wood, S.L.R., Martins, K.T., Dumais-Lalonde, V., Tanguy, O., Maure, F., St-Denis, A., Rayfield, B., Martin, A.E., Gonzalez, A. 2022. Missing Interactions: The Current State of Multispecies Connectivity Analysis. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.3389/fevo.2022.830822

Jarnevich, C.S., Thomas, C.C., Young, N.E., Grissom, P., Backer, D., and Frid, L. 2022. Coupling process-based and empirical models to assess management options to meet conservation goals. Biological Conservation. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109379

Sleeter, B.M., Frid, L., Rayfield, B., Daniel, C., Zhu, Z., and Marvin, D.C. 2022. Operational assessment tool for forest carbon dynamics for the United States: a new spatially explicit approach linking the LUCAS and CBM-CFS3 models. Carbon Balance and Management. doi:10.1186/s13021-022-00201-1


Blankenship, K., Swaty, R., Hall, K.R., Hagen, S., Pohl, K., Shlisky Hunt, A., Patton, J., Frid, L., and Smith, J. 2021. Vegetation dynamics models: a comprehensive set for natural resource assessment and planning in the United States. Ecosphere. doi:10.1002/ecs2.3484

Miller, B.W., and Frid, L. 2021. A new approach for representing agent-environment feedbacks: coupled agent-based and state-and-transition simulation models. Landscape Ecology. doi:10.1007/s10980-021-01282-y

Norris, A.R., Frid, L., Debyser, C., De Groot, K.L., Thomas, J., Lee, A., Dohms, K.M., Robinson, A., Easton, W., Martin, K. and Cockle, K.L. 2021. Forecasting the cumulative effects of multiple stressors on breeding habitat for a steeply declining aerial insectivorous songbird, the olive-sided flycatcher (Contopus cooperi). Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2021.635872

Rayfield, B., Paul, V., Tremblay, F., Fortin, M.J., Hély, C., and Bergeron, Y. 2021. Influence of habitat availability and fire disturbance on a northern range boundary. Journal of Biogeography. doi:10.1111/jbi.14004


Cuyler, C., Daniel, C. J., Enghoff, M., Levermann, N., Møller Lund, N., Hansen, P. N., and Danielsen, D. D. F. 2020. Using local ecological knowledge as evidence to guide management: A community‐led harvest calculator for muskoxen in Greenland. Conservation Science and Practice. doi:10.1111/csp2.159

Jarnevich, C.S., Young, N.E., Thomas, C.C., Grissom, P., Backer, D., and Frid, L. 2020. Assessing ecological uncertainty and simulation model sensitivity to evaluate an invasive plant species’ potential impacts to the landscape. Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-020-75325-w


D’Aloia, C. C., Naujokaitis-Lewis, I., Blackford, C., Chu, C., Curtis, J. M., Darling, E., Guichard, F., Leroux, S. J., Martensen, A. C., Rayfield, B., Sunday, J. M., Xuereb, A., and Fortin, M. J. 2019. Coupled networks of permanent protected areas and dynamic conservation areas for biodiversity conservation under climate change. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.3389/fevo.2019.00027

Jarnevich, C. S., Cullinane Thomas, C., Young, N. E., Backer, D., Cline, S., Frid, L., and Grissom, P. 2019. Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives. Ecosphere. doi:10.1002/ecs2.2730

Sleeter, B. M., Marvin, D. C., Cameron, D. R., Selmants, P. C., Westerling, L., Kreitler, J., Daniel, C. J., Liu, J., Wilson, T. S. 2019. Effects of 21st century climate, land use, and disturbances on ecosystem carbon balance in California. Global Change Biology. doi:10.1111/gcb.14677


Daniel, C. J., Sleeter, B., Frid, L., and Fortin, M. J. 2018. Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.1111/2041-210X.12952

Ford, P. L., Reeves, M. C., and Frid, L. 2018. A tool for projecting rangeland vegetation response to management and climate. Rangelands. doi:10.1016/j.rala.2018.10.010

Sleeter, B., Liu, J., Daniel, C. J., Rayfield, B., Sherba, J., Hawbaker, T.J., Zhu, Z., Selmants, P.C., and Loveland, T.R. 2018. Effects of contemporary land-use and land-cover change on the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the United States. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab540


Albert, C. H., Rayfield, B., Dumitru, M., and Gonzalez, A. 2017. Applying network theory to prioritize multispecies habitat networks that are robust to climate and land‐use change. Conservation Biology. doi:10.1111/cobi.12943

Daniel, C. J. 2017. Incorporating Uncertainty into Projections of Landscape Change (PhD thesis). University of Toronto, Canada.

Daniel, C. J., Ter-Mikaelian, M. T., Wotton, B. M., Rayfield, B., and Fortin, M.J. 2017. Incorporating uncertainty into forest management planning: Timber harvest, wildfire and climate change in the boreal forest. Forest Ecology and Management. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2017.06.039

Gilarranz, L. J., Rayfield, B., Liñán-Cembrano, G., Bascompte, J., and Gonzalez, A. 2017. Effects of network modularity on the spread of perturbation impact in experimental metapopulations. Science. doi:10.1126/science.aal4122

Miller, B. W., Symstad, A. J., Frid, L., Fisichelli, N. A., and Schuurman, G. W. 2017. Co-producing simulation models to inform resource management: a case study from southwest South Dakota. Ecosphere. doi:10.1002/ecs2.2020


Daniel, C. J., Frid, L., Sleeter, B., and Fortin, M. J. 2016. State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.1111/2041-210X.12597

Provencher, L., Frid, L., Czembor, C., and Morisette, J. T. 2016. State-and-Transition Models: Conceptual Versus Simulation Perspectives, Usefulness and Breadth of Use, and Land Management Applications. In M. J. Germino, J. C. Chambers, & C. S. Brown (Eds.), Exotic Brome-Grasses in Arid and Semiarid Ecosystems of the Western US (pp. 371-407). Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-24930-8_13

Rayfield, B., Pelletier, D., Dumitru, M., Cardille, J. A., and Gonzalez, A. 2016. Multipurpose habitat networks for short‐range and long‐range connectivity: a new method combining graph and circuit connectivity. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.1111/2041-210X.12470


Blankenship, K., Frid, L., and Smith, J. L. 2015. A state-and-transition simulation modeling approach for estimating the historical range of variability. AIMS Environmental Science. doi:10.3934/environsci.2015.2.253

Jarnevich, C., Holcombe, T. R., Cullinane Thomas, C., Frid, L., and Olsson, A. 2015. Simulating long-term effectiveness and efficiency of management scenarios for an invasive grass. AIMS Environmental Science. doi:10.3934/environsci.2015.2.427

Miller, B. W., Frid, L., Chang, T., Piekielek, N., Hansen, A. J., and Morisette, J. T. 2015. Combining state-and-transition simulations and species distribution models to anticipate the effects of climate change. AIMS Environmental Science. doi:10.3934/environsci.2015.2.400

Mitchell, M. G. E., Bennett, E. M., Gonzalez, A., Lechowicz, M. J., Rhemtulla, J. M., Cardille, J .A., Vanderheyden, K., Poirier-Ghys, G., Renard, D., Delmotte, S., Albert, C., Rayfield, B., Dumitru, M., Huang, H., Kipp, R., Larouche, M., Liss, K., Maguire, D. Y., Martins, K., Terrado, M., Ziter, C., Taliana, L., and Dancose, K. 2015. The Montérégie Connection: Linking landscapes, biodiversity, and ecosystem services to improve decision-making. Ecology and Society. doi:10.5751/ES-07927-200415

Sleeter, B. M., Liu, J., Daniel, C. J., Frid, L., and Zhu, Z. 2015. An integrated approach to modeling changes in land use, land cover, and disturbance and their impact on ecosystem carbon dynamics: a case study in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California. AIMS Environmental Science. doi:10.3934/environsci.2015.3.577


Leroux, S. J., and Rayfield, B. 2014. Methods and tools for addressing natural disturbance dynamics in conservation planning for wilderness areas. Diversity and distributions. doi:10.1111/ddi.12155

Pelletier, D., Clark, M., Anderson, M. G., Rayfield, B., Wulder, M. A., and Cardille, J. A. 2014. Applying circuit theory for corridor expansion and management at regional scales: tiling, pinch points, and omnidirectional connectivity. PLoS One. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0084135

St-Louis, V., Forester, J. D., Pelletier, D., Bélisle, M., Desrochers, A., Rayfield, B., Wulder, M. A., and Cardille, J. A. 2014. Circuit theory emphasizes the importance of edge-crossing decisions in dispersal-scale movements of a forest passerine. Landscape ecology. doi:10.1007/s10980-014-0019-x