Menu Close

Population Dynamics

We help organizations predict the fate of both animal populations & disease, including COVID-19.

Wildlife Population Dynamics

We work with clients around the world to help them forecast the effects of harvest, climate change and industrial development on wildlife populations.  

A key focus area of ours is supporting management decisions regarding wildlife harvest. Through ongoing collaborations over the past decade with several resource management agencies, including the Yukon Government, Government of Northwest Territories, Government of Alberta, Environment Canada, and the Government of Greenland, we have developed DG-Sim, an open-source model for forecasting wildlife population size and harvest. DG-Sim has been used to support harvest management decisions for several herds of barren-ground caribou, reindeer and muskoxen across Alaska, Canada, and Greenland.

We have also developed a customized software tool, called the Moose Harvest Planning System (MooseHarv), which is currently used by government biologists in Ontario to allocate annual harvest quotas across the province.  

A second area of focus for us has been the development of new approaches for forecasting the cumulative impacts of industrial development, climate change and harvest on caribou populations. The  Caribou Cumulative Effects (CCE) model, a tool that has evolved through more than 25 years of work with experts from across the Canadian and Alaskan arctic, dynamically links sub-models of caribou movement, body condition, and population dynamics (i.e. DG-Sim) in order to project the combined population-level consequences of future changes in land use, caribou harvest and climate. Most recently we have used this model to forecast the cumulative impact of proposed developments within the ranges of both the Bathurst and Porcupine barren-ground caribou herds.

Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dynamics

Recently we have demonstrated how our SyncroSim modeling framework can be used to generate locally relevant forecasts of COVID-19 infections and deaths. 

DG-Sim

Other Focus Areas

Landscape Change

We develop tools and techniques for forecasting changes in vegetation and land use/land cover.

Details →

Ecosystem Services

We analyze and forecast the fate of ecosystem services, including carbon, animal habitat, and habitat connectivity.

Details →

Population Dynamics

We help organizations predict the fate of both animal populations & disease, including COVID-19.

Animal Population Dynamics

We work with clients around the world to help them forecast the effects of harvest, climate change and industrial development on wildlife populations.  

A key focus area of ours is supporting management decisions regarding wildlife harvest. Through ongoing collaborations over the past decade with several resource management agencies, including the Yukon Government, Government of Northwest Territories, Government of Alberta, Environment Canada, and the Government of Greenland, we have developed DG-Sim, an open-source model for forecasting wildlife population size and harvest. DG-Sim has been used to support harvest management decisions for several herds of barren-ground caribou, reindeer and muskoxen across Alaska, Canada, and Greenland.

We have also developed a customized software tool, called the Moose Harvest Planning System (MooseHarv), which is currently used by government biologists in Ontario to allocate annual harvest quotas across the province.  

A second area of focus for us has been the development of new approaches for forecasting the cumulative impacts of industrial development, climate change and harvest on caribou populations. The  Caribou Cumulative Effects (CCE) model, a tool that has evolved through more than 25 years of work with experts from across the Canadian and Alaskan arctic, dynamically links sub-models of caribou movement, body condition, and population dynamics (i.e. DG-Sim) in order to project the combined population-level consequences of future changes in land use, caribou harvest and climate. Most recently we have used this model to forecast the cumulative impact of proposed developments within the ranges of both the Bathurst and Porcupine barren-ground caribou herds.

Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dynamics

Recently we have demonstrated how our SyncroSim modeling framework can be used to generate locally relevant forecasts of COVID-19 infections and deaths. 

DG-Sim

Other Focus Areas

Landscape Change

We develop tools and techniques for forecasting changes in vegetation and land use/land cover.

Details →

Ecosystem Services

We analyze and forecast the fate of ecosystem services, including carbon, animal habitat, and habitat connectivity.

Details →